verb / noun HSK 5
Traditional 猜測
cāi
to guess · to conjecture · to speculate · speculation · conjecture

Meaning

猜测 means to make an educated guess or speculation about something without having complete information. It combines the idea of guessing (猜) with measuring or estimating (测), suggesting a thoughtful attempt to figure something out rather than a random guess. It can function as both a verb meaning 'to speculate' and a noun meaning 'speculation' or 'conjecture'.

Usage

猜测 is commonly used in both spoken and written Mandarin when discussing assumptions, hypotheses, or educated guesses. It's more formal than simple 猜 (to guess) and implies a reasoning process. Often used in contexts like news reports, academic discussions, or when analyzing situations where facts are incomplete. Native speakers frequently pair it with 我 (I) or use it in phrases like 据我猜测 (according to my speculation).

Examples

  1. 01
    猜测他今天不会来了,因为外面下大雨。
    cāi jīn tiān huì lái le, yīn wèi wài miàn xià .
    I guess he won't come today because it's raining heavily outside.
  2. 02
    这只是我的猜测,具体情况还需要进一步调查。
    Zhè zhǐ shì de cāi , qíng kuàng hái yào jìn diào chá.
    This is just my speculation; the specific situation still requires further investigation.

Characters

Common collocations

  • 猜测
    cāi
    according to speculation
  • 大胆猜测
    dǎn cāi
    to boldly speculate
  • 合理猜测
    cāi
    reasonable guess/conjecture
  • 随意猜测
    suí cāi
    to speculate randomly

Antonyms

Origin

The word combines 猜 (guess) with 测 (measure/estimate), creating a compound that suggests a more analytical form of guessing based on observation and reasoning rather than pure chance.

Related